Tarifas generan nuevas oportunidades en bolsa

PUNTOS IMPORTANTES:

Tarifas podrían afectar el crecimiento económico global
Empresas como Netflix y McDonald’s destacan por su bajo riesgo
Acciones defensivas ganan tracción ante incertidumbre comercial

Tarifas impulsan estrategia de refugio según Jefferies

La incertidumbre sobre nuevas tarifas ha incrementado la volatilidad en los mercados globales. En este escenario, Jefferies aconseja invertir en acciones con baja exposición a una desaceleración económica directa.

Según el banco,

“El entorno macro actual exige un enfoque distinto al clásico de cíclicas versus defensivas”

Además, cambios de política o avances en negociaciones podrían modificar rápidamente el sentimiento del mercado.

Netflix (NFLX) mantiene atractivo pese a desaceleración

Una de las principales recomendaciones es Netflix. La firma destaca que su modelo basado en suscripciones limita el impacto de las tarifas. Incluso en un entorno de menor consumo, seguiría siendo asequible para los hogares.

Articulosde interes

Now the market looks closer to finding a durable bottom. Thursday marked the biggest day of retail selling since the Covid pandemic, according to Vanda Research, as individual investors joined their institutional counterparts in pulling back from the market. But the losses aren’t severe enough yet. Bob Lang, chief options analyst at Explosive Options, said he needs to see several days of selling before calling a bottom. He noted that the CBOE put/call ratio on Thursday rose to 1.2, double the average at 0.6, which indicates 1.2 puts being bought for every call. It’s an extreme level of bearishness that’s often a contrarian signal to buy stocks. But, he said he would need more readings just like that one after this week’s ugly drawdown. Freedom Capital Markets’ Woods said he’s watching the CBOE Volatility Index , otherwise known as Wall Street’s fear gauge, which he would need to see climb above 30 before he can say there’s a real flush. On Friday, it was last at around the 24 handle. “We’re very close to this final capitulation,” Woods said. “We’re not seeing the panic yet, but we are seeing opportunities.” Drawing up shopping lists Woods thinks the highs may be in for the year, as there’s little left on the calendar that could serve as a durable positive catalyst for the market. The S&P 500 climbed to record highs just last month, topping 7,800. The third-quarter earnings season, which proved to be as impressive as anticipated, is largely behind traders, even with some big names like Nvidia still to come later this month. By the time it wraps up, the S&P 500 is expected to have grown earnings by 31% last quarter, according to FactSet’s John Butters. The results confirm yet again the unprecedented heft American companies are enjoying thanks to AI, gains that are expanding to the 493 companies outside of the Magnificent Seven. Washington will remain in focus, as investors await how a divided government tackles spending on the Iran war, a battle that could result in a government shutdown before the year is out. The path for monetary policy remains in focus, especially after Friday’s blowout payrolls report showed that hourly wages continue to grow and implied that the job market is holding up. Investors will get more clarity on the inflation front in the coming week, with the releases of both the consumer and producer price indexes. According to early estimates averaged on FactSet, CPI is expected to have increased 3.9% on a year over year basis, worse than the 3.7% in the prior reading, but core inflation is set to have cooled somewhat on a monthly basis. Some investors are drawing up their shopping lists to go bargain hunting following this week’s rout. Freedom Capital Markets’ Woods said he spies opportunities in Micron and Nvidia, both of which have been heavily punished in the recent sell-off, as well as the broader semiconductor space. “It’s not the time to jump in with both feet,” Woods said. “But it’s time to start nibbling because to pick that bottom will be very difficult.” Week ahead calendar All times ET. Monday, Nov. 9 10:00 a.m. Wholesale Inventories final (September) Earnings: Take-Two Interactive Software , Occidental Petroleum , KKR , NRG Energy , Constellation Energy , Skydance Tuesday, Nov. 10 6:00 a.m. NFIB Small Business Index (October) 8:15 a.m. ADP Weekly Employment change (10/24) 8:30 a.m. Consumer Price Index (October) 8:30 a.m. Hourly Earnings final (October) 8:30 a.m. Average Workweek final (October) Earnings: TransDigm Group Wednesday, Nov. 11 Earnings: Vylor Thursday, Nov. 12 6:30 a.m. New York Federal Reserve Bank President and CEO John Williams serves as a Panelist on UC Berkeley Alumni Salon at UC Berkeley, New York City 8:30 a.m. Initial Claims (11/07) 10:00 a.m. Existing Home Sales (October) Earnings: Applied Materials Friday, Nov. 13 Elecciones y sectores clave de Estados Unidos.

Estos sectores bursátiles podrían subir con la victoria demócrata en las elecciones intermedias

7 de noviembre de 2026

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Operadores bursátiles trabajan durante una jornada de tensión en Wall Street.

Un estratega sénior advierte sobre una liquidación catastrófica en los mercados

7 de noviembre de 2026

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Jefferies proyecta un precio objetivo de 1.200 USD, con un potencial de subida del 30% respecto al cierre del jueves. Las acciones han subido un 4% en 2025.

McDonald’s (MCD) crece gracias a estrategia defensiva

McDonald’s también aparece como opción destacada, con un alza del 6% en lo que va del año. Su enfoque en precios accesibles y combos de valor ha reforzado su posición en EE. UU.

El precio objetivo fijado por Jefferies es de 349 USD, lo que implicaría un incremento del 14% desde el nivel actual. Destacan que su exposición a tarifas es muy reducida.

CME Group (CME) se beneficia de la alta volatilidad

En el sector financiero, CME Group se perfila como beneficiario de la volatilidad generada por los aranceles. Su rol en derivados sobre metales, energía y materias primas gana protagonismo.

Las acciones han subido un 12% en 2025. Para Jefferies, el operador de mercados es clave en momentos de incertidumbre comercial. Su precio objetivo es de 288 USD, un alza potencial del 11%.

Jefferies también sugiere opciones en salud y metales

Además, Jefferies menciona a Quest Diagnostics y Wheaton Precious Metals como alternativas con baja exposición a comercio internacional. Ambas ofrecen estabilidad ante posibles prolongaciones del conflicto arancelario.

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